Match Info

Prime League

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday

Location: AXA Arena (Winterthur)


	Winterthur		Köniz

	1	X	2
	2.4	5.4	2.06
	2.37	5.33	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.1)	5.37 ↑ (5)	2.06 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winterthur
38.4%

Draw
17.1%

Köniz
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

18.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

19%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Köniz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köniz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Winterthur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köniz than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köniz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 1.

Recent form of Winterthur has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Köniz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 97:97. (average 4.9:4.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 53:46. (average 5.3:4.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Köniz - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.52%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rychenberg Winterthur Floorball
Swiss Prime League Floorball
29.11.25	Winterthur - Alligator Malans	6:7 OT ✺
22.11.25	Basel Regio - Winterthur	7:6 OT ✺
15.11.25	Winterthur - WASA St Gallen	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Zug United - Winterthur	7:4 ✺
01.11.25	Thurgau - Winterthur	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Köniz Floorball
Swiss Prime League Floorball
29.11.25	Grasshopper - Köniz	5:6 penalties ✺
22.11.25	Köniz - Langnau Tigers	5:9 ✺
15.11.25	Uster - Köniz	4:5 ✺
02.11.25	Köniz - Chur United	8:0 ✺
25.10.25	Wiler-Ersigen - Köniz	10:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Prime League Floorball
23.03.25	Winterthur - Köniz	6:9
20.03.25	Köniz - Winterthur	4:7
15.03.25	Köniz - Winterthur	7:4
13.03.25	Winterthur - Köniz	7:9
08.03.25	Winterthur - Köniz	2:4
21.12.24	Winterthur - Köniz	5:3
28.09.24	Köniz - Winterthur	4:6

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