Match Info

UEFA Futsal Euro - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	L'Equipe
Portugal	Sport TV2


	France		Ukraine

	1	X	2
	2.88	4.33	1.83
	2.7	4.2	2.08
	2.47	4.72	2.11	Watch
	2.64	4.15	2.13
	2.9	4.5	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.47)	4.38 ↓ (4.72)	2 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
33.5%

Draw
20.8%

Ukraine
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

19.4%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

19.3%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ukraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ukraine than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

France - Ukraine Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ukraine will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lokoka F. (G)	17. Sukhov O. (G)
2. Belhaj S.	10. Cherniavskyi I.
14. Guirio O.	18. Pervievev V.
10. Mohammed A.	3. Shved N.
11. Mouhoudine S. (C)	5. Zhuk Y.
Substitutes
22. Benslama A.	9. Abakshyn D.
16. Durot J. (G)	1. Belimov I. (G)
3. Gueddoura A.	11. Fareniuk A.
12. Marquet L. (G)	13. Korsun I.
15. Menendez N.	6. Mykytiuk M.
19. Rezzoug M.	8. Pediash O.
5. Tchaptchet A.	15. Prykhodko I.
13. Toure M.	19. Savenko Y. (G)
20. Toure M.	14. Shoturma P. (C)
Coaches
. Reynaud R.	. Kosenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Toure M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
28', Gueddoura A. (G), Toure M. (A),
30', Mohammed A. 🟥,
30', Zhuk Y. (Pen),
Extra Time (3 - 1)
41', Mouhoudine S. (G),
42', Toure M. 🟨,
45', Mouhoudine S. (G),
48', Mouhoudine S. (G), Guirio O. (A),
48', Korsun I. (G),

Preview

France is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ukraine's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ukraine might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 2.2:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
28.01.26	Georgia - France	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	France - Latvia	5:0 ✺
21.01.26	Croatia - France	2:2 ✺
Friendly International Futsal
15.01.26	France - Belgium	5:5 ✺
21.12.25	France - Paraguay	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTTW
- Ukraine futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
28.01.26	Czech Republic - Ukraine	3:5 ✺
25.01.26	Ukraine - Lithuania	4:1 ✺
22.01.26	Armenia - Ukraine	2:1 ✺
Friendly International Futsal
21.12.25	Portugal - Ukraine	5:2 ✺
19.12.25	Portugal - Ukraine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Futsal
12.11.25	France - Ukraine	1:3
Futsal World Cup
06.10.24	Ukraine - France	7:1
Friendly International Futsal
16.04.24	Ukraine - France	4:4
Futsal World Cup
04.02.20	France - Ukraine	2:2
Friendly International Futsal
31.10.18	France - Ukraine	3:1

France - Ukraine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide