Match Info

UEFA Futsal Euro

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Stožice (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
France	New World TV
Italy	RaiPlay
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Poland	TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Poland		Italy

	1	X	2
	5	5.5	1.36
	5	6.2	1.37
	3.64	5.35	1.59	Watch
	6.33	5.9	1.32
	5	5.66	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.99 ↑ (3.64)	5.72 ↑ (5.35)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
18.4%

Draw
16%

Italy
65.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

17.1%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poland's form might have worsened.

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Poland - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Italy will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Italy will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Widuch M. (G)	12. Bellobuono J. (G)
8. Grubalski S.	16. Calderolli F.
6. Kaniewski P.	11. De Oliveira J.
9. Pawlus K.	14. Motta G.
7. Zastawnik M.	22. Musumeci C. (C)
Substitutes
15. Haraburda G.	24. Barichello M.
16. Jankowski M.	1. Dalcin E.
1. Kaluza M. (G)	7. Fortini G.
2. Kubik M. (C)	9. Liberti F.
10. Leszczak S.	10. Merlim A.
3. Madziag M.	2. Podda M.
14. Marek M.	17. Turmena L.
4. Skiepko P.
Coaches
. Korczynski B.	. Samperi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', De Oliveira J. (G), Musumeci C. (A),
13', De Oliveira J. (G), Barichello M. (A),
15', Barichello M. (G),
16', Leszczak S. 🟨,
17', Zastawnik M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
32', De Oliveira J. 🟨,
33', De Oliveira J. (G), Motta G. (A),
39', Leszczak S. (Pen),

Preview

In this match, Italy is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 1.5:6.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
24.01.26	Hungary - Poland	4:2 ✺
Friendly International Futsal
21.12.25	Japan - Poland	1:3 ✺
18.12.25	Romania - Poland	2:3 ✺
17.12.25	Poland - Saudi Arabia	4:1 ✺
21.10.25	Poland - Netherlands	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWT
- Italy futsal
UEFA Futsal Euro
24.01.26	Italy - Portugal	2:6 ✺
Friendly International Futsal
21.12.25	Italy - Finland	1:1 ✺
11.11.25	Italy - Spain	3:4 ✺
UEFA Futsal Euro
23.09.25	Kazakhstan - Italy	3:3 penalties ✺
18.09.25	Italy - Kazakhstan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Futsal
22.01.18	Italy - Poland	7:0
UEFA Futsal Euro
21.03.15	Italy - Poland	6:3

Poland - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide