Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Águas Santas		Motor Zaporizhia

	1	X	2
	2.05	8	2.1	Watch
	2	8	2.2
	2.05	7.5	2.15
	2.03	8	2.04
	2.05	8	2.05
	2.11	8.6	2.06	Watch
	2.06	8.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.7)	8.04 ↓ (8.5)	2.1 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águas Santas
44.8%

Draw
11.4%

Motor Zaporizhia
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

10.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

10.9%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águas Santas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águas Santas's form might have worsened.

Motor Zaporizhia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motor Zaporizhia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águas Santas than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águas Santas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Zaporizhia than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Zaporizhia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Águas Santas - Motor Zaporizhia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Recent matches Águas Santas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Motor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Águas Santas
Portuguese Andebol 1
03.12.22	Santo Tirso - Águas Santas	21:28 ✺
EHF European League
29.11.22	Füchse Berlin - Águas Santas	34:20 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
26.11.22	Águas Santas - Académico de Viseu	26:23 ✺
EHF European League
22.11.22	Águas Santas - Skanderborg Aarhus	25:34 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
19.11.22	Avanca - Águas Santas	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLW
- Motor Zaporizhia
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
03.12.22	Potsdam - Motor Zaporizhia	27:33 ✺
EHF European League
29.11.22	Motor Zaporizhia - Eurofarm Pelister	30:33 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
25.11.22	Motor Zaporizhia - Nettelstedt-Lübbecke	26:30 ✺
EHF European League
22.11.22	Bidasoa Irun - Motor Zaporizhia	26:22 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
18.11.22	Eintracht Hagen - Motor Zaporizhia	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLLLL

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