Match Info

Andebol 1 - Round 7

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Águas Santas		Póvoa

	1	X	2
	1.68	7.75	2.60
	1.73	8.00	2.57
	1.64	7.4	2.68
	1.70	8.50	2.60
	1.74	8.80	2.52
	1.69	8.40	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.13)	8.14 ↑ (7.88)	2.63 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Águas Santas
53.9%

Draw
11.2%

Póvoa
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

11.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

11.1%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águas Santas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águas Santas's performance.

Póvoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Póvoa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águas Santas than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águas Santas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Póvoa than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Póvoa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águas Santas - Póvoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águas Santas won 5.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Águas Santas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Águas Santas has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Águas Santas has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 387:361 (averaging 25.8:24.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Águas Santas against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 209:198 goals (averaging 26.1:24.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Povoa	7	4	0	3	221:215	15
7	Aguas Santas	7	3	0	4	209:210	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Atlética de Águas Santas
EHF European League
29.09.26	Buzău - Águas Santas	30:30 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
26.09.26	Santo Tirso - Águas Santas	31:38 ✺
23.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Águas Santas	33:29 ✺
19.09.26	Águas Santas - Marítimo	27:29 ✺
12.09.26	Carvalhos - Águas Santas	23:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLLW
- Póvoa Andebol
Portuguese Andebol 1
26.09.26	Póvoa - Vitoria Guimarães	30:27 ✺
23.09.26	Marítimo - Póvoa	38:37 ✺
19.09.26	Póvoa - Carvalhos	32:26 ✺
12.09.26	Belenenses - Póvoa	25:28 ✺
05.09.26	Póvoa - Benfica	30:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
29.11.25	Águas Santas - Póvoa	21:19
13.09.25	Póvoa - Águas Santas	22:27
22.02.25	Póvoa - Águas Santas	22:26
26.10.24	Águas Santas - Póvoa	28:27
04.05.24	Póvoa - Águas Santas	23:25
13.04.24	Águas Santas - Póvoa	29:28
02.03.24	Águas Santas - Póvoa	25:28

Upcoming Matches