Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 5

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		Reale Ademar

	1	X	2
	2.6	8	1.8	Watch
	2.6	8.4	1.67
	2.61	9.2	1.67	Watch
	2.7	8	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.04)	8.4 ↑ (8.05)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
35.2%

Draw
11%

Reale Ademar
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

11.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

11.3%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reale Ademar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ademar (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ademar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ademar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ademar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 508:576. (average 25.4:28.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Puente Genil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 263:283. (average 26.3:28.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.10.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - BM Ciudad Encantada	22:21 ✺
27.09.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:30 ✺
20.09.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Bidasoa Irun	30:36 ✺
12.09.25	BM Granollers - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	38:33 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
16.08.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	34:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLT
- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
04.10.25	Reale Ademar - Caserio Ciudad Real	38:31 ✺
25.09.25	Bidasoa Irun - Reale Ademar	26:26 ✺
21.09.25	Reale Ademar - BM Granollers	36:39 ✺
14.09.25	Morrazo Cangas - Reale Ademar	25:29 ✺
Supercopa Iberica Handball
31.08.25	Porto - Reale Ademar	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
08.02.25	Reale Ademar - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:20
14.09.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar	29:31
02.02.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar	26:28
10.09.23	Reale Ademar - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	23:23
16.04.23	Reale Ademar - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	34:32
13.11.22	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Reale Ademar	33:33
19.02.22	Reale Ademar - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	28:25

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