Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 3

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil		Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	3.4	8.5	1.52
	3.20	8.25	1.49
	3.5	8.5	1.5
	3.37	7.8	1.5
	3.2	7.75	1.52
	3.23	9.4	1.5	Watch
	3.1	9.2	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	8.49 ↓ (8.63)	1.5 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
28%

Draw
10.8%

Torrelavega
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

10.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

9.6%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torrelavega, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 2.

In recent outings, Puente Genil has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Torrelavega has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Torrelavega is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Puente Genil has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 293:299 (averaging 29.3:29.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Puente Genil against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 155:141 goals (averaging 31:28.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Torrelavega	4	3	0	1	125:100	6
12	Puente Genil	4	1	0	3	111:135	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
20.09.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Barcelona	27:39 ✺
12.09.26	Proin - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	30:31 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
19.08.26	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	27:30 ✺
13.08.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	26:23 ✺
07.08.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Águas Santas	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW
- BM Torrelavega
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.09.26	Torrelavega - Nava	33:19 ✺
12.09.26	EÓN Alicante - Torrelavega	32:29 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
21.08.26	Torrelavega - Atlético Valladolid	26:32 ✺
19.08.26	Veszprém - Torrelavega	34:20
13.08.26	Torrelavega - Fenix Toulouse	25:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.04.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Torrelavega	26:25
23.11.25	Torrelavega - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	32:27
16.02.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Torrelavega	26:30
21.09.24	Torrelavega - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	29:26
24.03.24	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Torrelavega	32:28
21.10.23	Torrelavega - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:28
11.02.23	Torrelavega - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	34:27

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