Match Info

Date: 13 April 2022, Wednesday


	Šmartno		Slovan Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2.9	9	1.52
	2.85	9.5	1.5
	3.4	9	1.4
	3.34	8.3	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (4.14)	8.95 ↓ (11)	1.48 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šmartno
28.9%

Draw
10.1%

Slovan Ljubljana
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

8.5%

69%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

8.8%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šmartno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Šmartno's performance.

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovan Ljubljana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šmartno than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Šmartno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovan Ljubljana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Šmartno - Slovan Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Slovan is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Šmartno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 52-69.

Including matches at home between the teams Šmartno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RD Šmartno
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
09.04.22	Ivančna Gorica - Šmartno	28:22 ✺
02.04.22	Šmartno - Dobova	29:29 ✺
25.03.22	Gorenje Velenje - Šmartno	35:23 ✺
11.03.22	Šmartno - Trimo Trebnje	28:28 ✺
05.03.22	Slovenj Gradec - Šmartno	36:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTLTL
- RD Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
08.04.22	Trimo Trebnje - Slovan Ljubljana	35:23 ✺
02.04.22	Slovan Ljubljana - Slovenj Gradec	24:29 ✺
26.03.22	Ljubljana - Slovan Ljubljana	32:32 ✺
12.03.22	Slovan Ljubljana - Celje Pivovarna Laško	29:32 ✺
05.03.22	Ribnica - Slovan Ljubljana	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
25.05.18	Slovan Ljubljana - Šmartno	42:28
17.11.17	Šmartno - Slovan Ljubljana	24:27

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