Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	ABC Braga		Skjern

	1	X	2
	3.3	8.5	1.47	Watch
	3.4	11	1.44
	4.15	10.76	1.34
	3.3	8.5	1.4
	4.15	9.9	1.36
	3.95	9.8	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.57)	9.74 ↑ (8)	1.4 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC Braga
24.8%

Draw
9.4%

Skjern
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

11.3%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

11.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ABC Braga's form might have worsened.

Skjern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Skjern's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABC Braga than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ABC Braga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skjern than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Skjern, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

ABC Braga - Skjern Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. ABC Braga will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Skjern will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Skjern: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

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Preview

ABC Braga is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Skjern is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently ABC Braga have a series of guest games.

Skjern will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC Braga
Portuguese Andebol 1
11.11.23	ABC Braga - Vitoria Setúbal	32:25 ✺
28.10.23	Águas Santas - ABC Braga	33:34 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Nexe - ABC Braga	38:28 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
21.10.23	Benfica - ABC Braga	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
17.10.23	Považská Bystrica - ABC Braga	26:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTW
- Skjern Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
11.11.23	GOG - Skjern	29:26 ✺
28.10.23	Skjern - Ringsted	34:28 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Skjern - Považská Bystrica	42:22 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
20.10.23	Sønderjysk Elite - Skjern	29:25 ✺
EHF European League
17.10.23	Nexe - Skjern	39:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL

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