Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	AEK Athens		Gorenje Velenje

	1	X	2
	1.62	9.5	2.7	Watch
	1.72	9.25	2.45
	1.77	7.5	2.6
	1.79	7.8	2.25
	1.73	8.5	2.5
	1.69	8.7	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)	8.54 ↓ (9.5)	2.53 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Athens
53.1%

Draw
10.7%

Gorenje Velenje
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

9.8%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

8.9%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Gorenje Velenje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Athens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorenje Velenje than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gorenje Velenje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	3.7%	14.8%

AEK Athens - Gorenje Velenje Predictions

Users Predictions: AEK Athens will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

1st leg.

AEK in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gorenje Velenje is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gorenje Velenje could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

AEK will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's AEK to win the game is with odds 1.76.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Athens HC
Greek A1 Handball
10.04.21	AEK Athens - Ionikos Nea Filadelfeia	32:22 ✺
06.04.21	Diomidis Argous - AEK Athens	27:27 ✺
EHF European Cup
26.03.21	AEK Athens - Zenit Saint Petersburg	29:27 ✺
25.03.21	Zenit Saint Petersburg - AEK Athens	21:30 ✺
21.02.21	AEK Athens - CSM București	29:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTWWW
- RK Gorenje Velenje
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
14.04.21	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Gorenje Velenje	23:25 ✺
31.03.21	Gorenje Velenje - Ribnica	30:29 ✺
EHF European Cup
27.03.21	Gorenje Velenje - Zubri	28:24 ✺
20.03.21	Zubri - Gorenje Velenje	26:31 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
16.03.21	Jeruzalem Ormož - Gorenje Velenje	26:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

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