Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Aarhus HC		Skive FH

	1	X	2
	2.77	7.2	1.64
	3	8	1.5
	2.79	8	1.64
	2.85	8.4	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.5)	7.9 ↓ (8.67)	1.59 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus HC
31.7%

Draw
11.5%

Skive FH
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

10.4%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

9.9%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus HC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus HC's performance.

Skive FH has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skive FH might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus HC than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarhus HC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skive FH than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skive FH could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aarhus HC - Skive FH Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

Recent matches Aarhus HC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Skive is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Aarhus HC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Skive is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Skive to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aarhus HC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 45-45.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus HC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26-24.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus HC
Danish 1 Division Handball
14.10.23	Grindsted - Aarhus HC	24:22 ✺
08.10.23	Aarhus HC - Odense	34:33 ✺
29.09.23	Vendsyssel - Aarhus HC	30:28 ✺
23.09.23	Køge - Aarhus HC	28:32 ✺
17.09.23	Aarhus HC - Skovbakken	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW
- Skive FH
Danish 1 Division Handball
12.10.23	Skive FH - Skovbakken	32:31 ✺
07.10.23	HØJ - Skive FH	33:35 ✺
30.09.23	Skive FH - Sydhavsøerne	31:28 ✺
24.09.23	Tønder - Skive FH	32:39 ✺
15.09.23	Skive FH - Midtjylland	28:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
17.03.23	Skive FH - Aarhus HC	21:19
11.11.22	Aarhus HC - Skive FH	26:24

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