Match Info

DENMARK: KVINDELIGAEN WOMEN - ROUND 11

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Aarhus United		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	5.5	10	1.3
	4.5	11.5	1.3
	4.93	9.79	1.29
	4.6	9.5	1.25
	4.8	10.25	1.3
	4.4	12	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (3.92)	10.51 ↑ (9.29)	1.29 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus United
19.3%

Draw
8.8%

Nykøbing
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

9.9%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

9.8%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nykøbing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Aarhus United - Nykøbing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus United won 1.

Recent matches Aarhus United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nykøbing is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nykøbing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nykøbing is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nykøbing to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Aarhus United won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 379-434.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 189-199.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus United
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
04.11.23	Aarhus United - Horsens	26:24 ✺
Danish Cup Handball Women
31.10.23	Aarhus United - Nykøbing	21:22 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
28.10.23	SønderjyskE - Aarhus United	32:22 ✺
18.10.23	Aarhus United - Ringkøbing	31:33 ✺
07.10.23	Ajax København - Aarhus United	21:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLW
- NFH Nykøbing
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
05.11.23	Nykøbing - Silkeborg-Voel KFUM	28:22 ✺
Danish Cup Handball Women
31.10.23	Aarhus United - Nykøbing	21:22 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
27.10.23	Horsens - Nykøbing	30:33 ✺
18.10.23	Nykøbing - Herning-Ikast	25:35 ✺
08.10.23	SønderjyskE - Nykøbing	28:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Cup Handball Women
31.10.23	Aarhus United - Nykøbing	21:22
Danish Handbold Ligaen Women
05.05.23	Aarhus United - Nykøbing	26:27
21.04.23	Nykøbing - Aarhus United	24:24
08.02.23	Aarhus United - Nykøbing	25:23
05.10.22	Nykøbing - Aarhus United	28:23
13.02.22	Nykøbing - Aarhus United	27:22
10.09.21	Aarhus United - Nykøbing	22:26

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