Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Round 9

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday


	Agustinos Alicante		Caserio Ciudad Real

	1	X	2
	3.2	10	1.45
	3	9	1.53
	2.99	8.34	1.58	Watch
	3.1	9.5	1.5
	2.94	8	1.59
	3	9	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.78)	8.97 ↓ (9.65)	1.53 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agustinos Alicante
30.1%

Draw
10.2%

Caserio Ciudad Real
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

9.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

9.1%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agustinos Alicante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agustinos Alicante's performance.

Caserio Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caserio Ciudad Real might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agustinos Alicante than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agustinos Alicante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caserio Ciudad Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Agustinos Alicante - Caserio Ciudad Real Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Agustinos Alicante will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Caserio Ciudad Real will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30

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Preview

Recent matches Agustinos Alicante is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caserio Ciudad Real is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Caserio Ciudad Real is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Caserio Ciudad Real to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Agustinos Alicante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 44:56 (average 22:28).

Including matches at home between the teams Agustinos Alicante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agustinos Alicante
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
02.11.24	Atlético Novás - Agustinos Alicante	33:27 ✺
26.10.24	Agustinos Alicante - Antequera	32:30 ✺
19.10.24	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Agustinos Alicante	34:24 ✺
12.10.24	Agustinos Alicante - Amenabar Zarautz	31:32 ✺
05.10.24	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Agustinos Alicante	22:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLW
- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.11.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Barcelona II	29:25 ✺
20.10.24	Atlético Novás - Caserio Ciudad Real	26:31 ✺
12.10.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Antequera	31:25 ✺
05.10.24	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Caserio Ciudad Real	28:27 ✺
29.09.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Amenabar Zarautz	33:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
02.03.24	Agustinos Alicante - Caserio Ciudad Real	19:21
28.10.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Agustinos Alicante	35:25

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