Match Info

NB I Women - Round 5

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Alba Fehérvár		MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	2.10	8.75	1.93
	1.53	10.00	3.05
	1.61	7.7	2.82
	2.10	9.75	1.90
	1.67	8.80	2.68
	1.60	8.40	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.52)	8.9 ↑ (8.05)	2.57 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alba Fehérvár
53%

Draw
10.5%

MTK Budapest
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

11.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

11.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alba Fehérvár has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alba Fehérvár's form might have worsened.

MTK Budapest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MTK Budapest's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alba Fehérvár than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alba Fehérvár, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MTK Budapest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alba Fehérvár - MTK Budapest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:26

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alba Fehérvár won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Alba Fehérvár could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Alba Fehérvár is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Alba Fehérvár has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 500:478 (averaging 29.4:28.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Alba Fehérvár against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 234:209 goals (averaging 29.3:26.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	MTK Budapest W	5	3	0	2	145:140	6
8	Alba Fehervar W	5	2	0	3	115:120	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alba Fehérvár KC
Hungarian Division 1 Handball Women
02.10.26	NEKA - Alba Fehérvár	21:23 ✺
19.09.26	Alba Fehérvár - Budaörs	30:25 ✺
12.09.26	Debreceni VSC - Alba Fehérvár	29:22 ✺
05.09.26	Alba Fehérvár - Vasas	21:24 ✺
Club Friendly Handball Women
14.08.26	Gloria Bistrița - Alba Fehérvár	32:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLLL
- MTK Budapest Handball Women
Hungarian Division 1 Handball Women
04.10.26	MTK Budapest - Eszterhazy	41:19 ✺
16.09.26	Ferencvárosi - MTK Budapest	37:25 ✺
09.09.26	MTK Budapest - Győri Audi ETO KC	28:37 ✺
05.09.26	Szombathelyi - MTK Budapest	28:30 ✺
Club Friendly Handball Women
21.08.26	MTK Budapest - Kisvárdai	34:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian Division 1 Handball Women
02.05.25	Alba Fehérvár - MTK Budapest	31:26
28.12.24	MTK Budapest - Alba Fehérvár	26:31
28.03.24	MTK Budapest - Alba Fehérvár	36:35
06.10.23	Alba Fehérvár - MTK Budapest	29:29
10.03.23	Alba Fehérvár - MTK Budapest	26:24
15.10.22	MTK Budapest - Alba Fehérvár	29:30
25.03.22	Alba Fehérvár - MTK Budapest	30:20

Alba Fehérvár - MTK Budapest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide