Match Info

European Cup - Final

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Boris Trajkovski Sports Center (Skopje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	ERT 2
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport 5
Sweden	Viaplay


	Alkaloid		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	1.45	9	3.4	Watch
	1.48	10	3.1
	1.7	8.6	2.5
	1.74	9.17	2.58	Watch
	1.65	9	2.62
	1.72	8.1	2.7
	1.7	8.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)	8.92 ↑ (8.9)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alkaloid
56.4%

Draw
10.3%

AEK Athens
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

10.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

9.6%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alkaloid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alkaloid than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Alkaloid - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alkaloid will win (votes: 3 - 75%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - AEK (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Lineups


17. Bingo A.	2. Arampatzis E.
2. Djonov I.	41. Beauregard F.
12. Galevski I.	23. Davyes W.
15. Ivanovski M.	25. Garain D.
8. Karasmanakis V.	76. Genes L.
1. Kizikj M.	12. Genty Y.
4. Markoski N.	9. Keita A.
20. Mitev D.	22. Koukoulas A.
6. Mladenovikj M.	15. Lulic P.
18. Oliveira F.	4. Matic M.
19. Petkovski A.	11. Panagiotou D.
21. Savrevski D.	93. Sako A.
7. Serafimov M.	8. Schmidt E.
14. Simonovski K.	14. Tepper D.
9. Stojkovikj M.	34. Toure S.
13. Velkovski M.	7. Vlastos V.

Preview

1st leg result: 29-25. 2nd leg.

Alkaloid is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AEK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alkaloid will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Alkaloid will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alkaloid won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RK Alkaloid
EHF European Cup
18.05.25	AEK Athens - Alkaloid	25:29 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
29.04.25	Alkaloid - Multi Essence	37:12 ✺
EHF European Cup
27.04.25	Runar - Alkaloid	35:32 penalties ✺
20.04.25	Alkaloid - Runar	42:37 ✺
30.03.25	Alkaloid - Minaur Baia Mare	32:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW
- AEK Athens HC
EHF European Cup
18.05.25	AEK Athens - Alkaloid	25:29 ✺
Greek A1 Handball
03.05.25	AEK Athens - Drama	34:31 ✺
28.04.25	Drama - AEK Athens	28:30 ✺
EHF European Cup
26.04.25	Izvidac - AEK Athens	28:24 ✺
19.04.25	AEK Athens - Izvidac	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European Cup
18.05.25	AEK Athens - Alkaloid	25:29

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