Match Info

PORTUGAL: 1A DIVISAO WOMEN - ROUND 20

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Alpendorada		Leça

	1	X	2
	1.4	10	3.5
	1.39	9.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	9.8 ↑ (8)	3.6 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
65.4%

Draw
9.3%

Leça
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

11.3%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

10.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Alpendorada - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:22

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alpendorada won 3.

Recent matches Alpendorada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leça is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alpendorada is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alpendorada won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 157-137.

Including matches at home between the teams Alpendorada won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 48-37.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ARC Alpendorada
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
25.04.23	SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros - Alpendorada	21:19 ✺
22.04.23	ABC Braga - Alpendorada	17:22 ✺
01.04.23	Alpendorada - Gil Eanes	17:21 ✺
25.03.23	Benfica - Alpendorada	26:21 ✺
18.03.23	Alpendorada - Maiastars	27:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLLW
- CA Leça
Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
25.04.23	Colegio de Gaia - Leça	28:27 ✺
22.04.23	Leça - Alavarium-Love Tiles	24:23 ✺
02.04.23	Madeira SAD - Leça	29:23 ✺
01.04.23	Madeira - Leça	25:19 ✺
25.03.23	Leça - SIR 1º Maio ADA CJ Barros	23:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese 1a Divisao Handball Women
08.12.22	Leça - Alpendorada	33:30
06.11.21	Alpendorada - Leça	23:20
30.05.21	Alpendorada - Leça	25:17
03.04.21	Leça - Alpendorada	19:26
01.03.20	Leça - Alpendorada	22:22
30.10.18	Leça - Alpendorada	26:31

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