Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Round 20

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Amenabar Zarautz		Agustinos Alicante

	1	X	2
	1.96	7.6	2.15
	1.92	8.63	2.22	Watch
	2	7.5	2.15
	1.95	8.1	2.14
	1.96	7.6	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.31)	7.89 ↓ (8.5)	2.16 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amenabar Zarautz
46.4%

Draw
11.5%

Agustinos Alicante
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

10.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

10.9%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amenabar Zarautz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amenabar Zarautz's performance.

Agustinos Alicante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agustinos Alicante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amenabar Zarautz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amenabar Zarautz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agustinos Alicante than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agustinos Alicante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amenabar Zarautz - Agustinos Alicante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

Amenabar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Agustinos Alicante is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amenabar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 146:135 (average 29.2:27).

Including matches at home between the teams Amenabar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 65:51 (average 32.5:25.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amenabar Zarautz
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
08.02.25	Barcelona II - Amenabar Zarautz	39:30 ✺
01.02.25	Amenabar Zarautz - Caserio Ciudad Real	31:33 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético Novás - Amenabar Zarautz	30:27 ✺
18.01.25	Amenabar Zarautz - Antequera	33:29 ✺
21.12.24	Amenabar Zarautz - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	23:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Agustinos Alicante
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
08.02.25	Agustinos Alicante - Alser Puerto Sagunto	29:32 ✺
01.02.25	Alcobendas - Agustinos Alicante	28:27 ✺
25.01.25	Agustinos Alicante - BM Sinfín	30:28 ✺
18.01.25	Proin - Agustinos Alicante	20:30 ✺
21.12.24	Eivissa - Agustinos Alicante	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
12.10.24	Agustinos Alicante - Amenabar Zarautz	31:32
18.05.19	Amenabar Zarautz - Agustinos Alicante	32:29
19.01.19	Agustinos Alicante - Amenabar Zarautz	32:28
06.05.18	Agustinos Alicante - Amenabar Zarautz	21:21
16.12.17	Amenabar Zarautz - Agustinos Alicante	33:22

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