Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Amenabar Zarautz		Alcobendas

	1	X	2
	1.74	9.8	2.37
	1.76	9.73	2.4
	1.75	9.5	2.3
	1.76	9.5	2.38
	1.74	9.8	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.05)	9.67 ↑ (9.5)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amenabar Zarautz
52%

Draw
9.4%

Alcobendas
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

9.7%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

9.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amenabar Zarautz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amenabar Zarautz's performance.

Alcobendas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcobendas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amenabar Zarautz than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amenabar Zarautz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcobendas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcobendas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amenabar won 3.

Amenabar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alcobendas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Amenabar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 271:311 (average 24.6:28.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Amenabar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 126:140 (average 25.2:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amenabar Zarautz
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
23.11.24	BM Sinfín - Amenabar Zarautz	36:32 ✺
16.11.24	Amenabar Zarautz - Proin	28:28 ✺
09.11.24	Eivissa - Amenabar Zarautz	30:26 ✺
02.11.24	Amenabar Zarautz - EÓN Alicante	31:34 ✺
19.10.24	Amenabar Zarautz - Burgos	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LTLLL
- BM Alcobendas
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
23.11.24	Alcobendas - Alser Puerto Sagunto	27:33 ✺
16.11.24	Alcobendas - Cisne	29:28 ✺
10.11.24	BM Sinfín - Alcobendas	30:20 ✺
02.11.24	Alcobendas - Proin	27:26 ✺
26.10.24	Eivissa - Alcobendas	20:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
04.02.23	Amenabar Zarautz - Alcobendas	26:33
29.10.22	Alcobendas - Amenabar Zarautz	23:25
11.12.21	Amenabar Zarautz - Alcobendas	29:28
25.09.21	Alcobendas - Amenabar Zarautz	30:30
20.02.21	Amenabar Zarautz - Alcobendas	28:26
21.11.20	Alcobendas - Amenabar Zarautz	28:24
08.02.20	Alcobendas - Amenabar Zarautz	28:21

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