The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amenabar Zarautz 55.9%
Draw 10.4%
Oviedo 33.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
10%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
9.8%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amenabar Zarautz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amenabar Zarautz's performance.
Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oviedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amenabar Zarautz than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amenabar Zarautz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oviedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Amenabar is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Oviedo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Amenabar is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Amenabar has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 56:56 (averaging 28:28 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Amenabar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 29:28 goals.
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