Match Info

SPAIN: Liga ASOBAL - Round 6

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Pabellón Anaitasuna (Pamplona)


	Anaitasuna		Atlético Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.85	8.5	2.55
	1.72	10	2.5
	1.75	8	2.47
	1.82	8.25	2.5
	1.75	8	2.45
	1.79	8	2.55	Watch
	1.75	8	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)	8.39 ↑ (8.37)	2.5 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anaitasuna
52%

Draw
11%

Atlético Valladolid
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

11.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

11.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anaitasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Atlético Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaitasuna than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Anaitasuna - Atlético Valladolid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


30. Albizu A.	31. Calle E.
35. Castro P.	28. Camino M.
13. Duo A.	21. Dimitrioski D.
23. Echavarri A. O.	43. Garcia M.
7. Ganuza M.	33. Herrero P.
15. Goni E.	9. Karapaleski M.
24. Itoiz P.	15. Mahmoud M.
33. Kisselev O.	18. Martinez A.
8. Moreno A.	19. Martinez M.
61. Moreno M.	20. Martinez P.
11. Pereiro S.	8. Oliveira G.
19. Redondo Vera M.	11. Pisonero A.
18. Unciti X.	51. Ribeiro L.
91. Zungri N.	73. Toledo J.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anaitasuna won 2.

Anaitasuna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético Valladolid is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Valladolid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Anaitasuna will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Anaitasuna won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 592:592 (average 29.6:29.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Anaitasuna won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 334:318 (average 30.4:28.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helvetia Anaitasuna
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.10.24	BM Ciudad Encantada - Anaitasuna	31:30 ✺
05.10.24	Benidorm - Anaitasuna	26:26 ✺
29.09.24	Anaitasuna - BM Granollers	28:29 ✺
20.09.24	Quabit Guadalajara - Anaitasuna	32:29 ✺
15.09.24	Anaitasuna - Nava	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLW
- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.10.24	Atlético Valladolid - Benidorm	27:24 ✺
04.10.24	BM Granollers - Atlético Valladolid	42:36 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético Valladolid - Quabit Guadalajara	30:26 ✺
21.09.24	Nava - Atlético Valladolid	38:33 ✺
13.09.24	Atlético Valladolid - Morrazo Cangas	34:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
21.04.24	Anaitasuna - Atlético Valladolid	39:35
19.11.23	Atlético Valladolid - Anaitasuna	34:33
23.04.23	Atlético Valladolid - Anaitasuna	30:22
15.11.22	Anaitasuna - Atlético Valladolid	29:29
05.03.22	Anaitasuna - Atlético Valladolid	33:32
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
09.02.22	Anaitasuna - Atlético Valladolid	24:26
02.02.22	Atlético Valladolid - Anaitasuna	33:39

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