Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 19

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kungsbacka Sporthall (Kungsbacka)


	Aranäs		Skånela

	1	X	2
	3.75	11	1.38
	4.17	8.15	1.36	Watch
	3.75	9	1.36
	3.76	10	1.39
	3.66	9.5	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.9)	9.53 ↑ (9)	1.37 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aranäs
23.9%

Draw
9.6%

Skånela
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

10%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

9.7%

61%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aranäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aranäs's form might have worsened.

Skånela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Skånela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aranäs than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aranäs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skånela than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Skånela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aranäs - Skånela Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Skånela will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Skånela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 2.

Aranäs has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Skånela is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aranäs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Skånela is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Skånela will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Aranäs won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 222:235. (average 27.8:29.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aranäs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 113:115. (average 28.3:28.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
7	Aranas	4	1	1	2	128:130	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Aranäs
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
18.01.26	Tumba - Aranäs	36:30 ✺
06.01.26	Redbergslids - Aranäs	33:27 ✺
30.12.25	Aranäs - Vinslovs	27:26 ✺
27.12.25	IFK Ystad - Aranäs	36:25 ✺
14.12.25	Aranäs - Lugi	31:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Skånela IF
Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
26.01.26	Skånela - IFK Ystad	36:28 ✺
16.01.26	Vinslovs - Skånela	29:32 ✺
04.01.26	Lugi - Skånela	27:39 ✺
20.12.25	Skånela - Torslanda	39:30 ✺
13.12.25	H43 Lund - Skånela	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan Handball
09.11.25	Skånela - Aranäs	33:34
10.04.24	Aranäs - Skånela	31:33
05.04.24	Aranäs - Skånela	29:31
01.04.24	Skånela - Aranäs	32:23
23.02.20	Aranäs - Skånela	32:20
13.10.19	Skånela - Aranäs	26:26
16.12.18	Skånela - Aranäs	29:26

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