Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Atlético Valladolid		Bidasoa Irun

	1	X	2
	3.2	8.5	1.57
	3	8	1.56
	3.17	7.83	1.54	Watch
	2.88	8	1.53
	2.96	9.2	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.35)	8.31 ↓ (9.6)	1.55 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Valladolid
30.1%

Draw
11%

Bidasoa Irun
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

9.7%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

9.5%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Valladolid's form might have worsened.

Bidasoa Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bidasoa Irun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bidasoa Irun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bidasoa will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31

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Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Valladolid won 0.

In recent matches, Atlético Valladolid has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bidasoa is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bidasoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bidasoa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Bidasoa will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Valladolid won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 553:614. (average 27.7:30.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Valladolid won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 285:300. (average 28.5:30).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	CD Bidasoa Irun	4	4	0	0	138:114	8
2	Atl. Valladolid	4	4	0	0	139:118	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	Barcelona II - Atlético Valladolid	29:32 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.04.26	BM Granollers - Atlético Valladolid	27:23 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Valladolid - Morrazo Cangas	29:23 ✺
05.04.26	Villa de Aranda - Atlético Valladolid	33:29 ✺
28.03.26	Atlético Valladolid - BM Ciudad Encantada	33:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW
- Bidasoa Irun
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Bidasoa Irun	30:36 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.04.26	Bidasoa Irun - EÓN Alicante	38:35 ✺
11.04.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Bidasoa Irun	32:34 ✺
04.04.26	Bidasoa Irun - Torrelavega	34:34 ✺
29.03.26	Quabit Guadalajara - Bidasoa Irun	36:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
29.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	34:24
18.05.25	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	25:25
13.12.24	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	32:27
18.02.24	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	33:35
22.09.23	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	31:27
25.02.23	Atlético Valladolid - Bidasoa Irun	32:37
23.09.22	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	33:28

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