The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aula Valladolid 42.1%
Draw 12.3%
Sporting La Rioja 45.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
13.5%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
14.6%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aula Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Sporting La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aula Valladolid than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aula Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting La Rioja than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting La Rioja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aula won 3.
Aula is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sporting La Rioja is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Aula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Aula won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 158:144. (average 26.3:24).
Including home matches between the teams, Aula won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 56:42. (average 28:21).
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