Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP

Date: 24 January 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lanxess Arena (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pavicevic I. (Mne) - Raznatovic M. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	15:30	Sport 2
Denmark	15:30	TV2 Sport
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Sports Max
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Poland	15:30	Eurosport 2
Romania	16:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	15:30	Arena Sport
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
Ukraine	16:30	Sport 1
United Kingdom	14:30	Viaplay


	Austria		Iceland

	1	X	2
	2.3	8	1.95	Watch
	2.3	8.5	1.95
	2.32	8.25	1.89	Watch
	2.4	7.5	1.73
	2.35	8.1	1.94
	2.3	8.4	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.71)	8.13 ↓ (8.24)	1.9 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria
39.8%

Draw
11.4%

Iceland
48.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

11.3%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

12.4%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austria's performance.

Iceland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iceland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iceland than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Austria - Iceland Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Austria will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Iceland will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austria: 72.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Austria won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Iceland will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Austria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 295-326.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria handball
Handball European Championship
22.01.24	France - Austria	33:28 ✺
20.01.24	Germany - Austria	22:22 ✺
18.01.24	Hungary - Austria	29:30 ✺
16.01.24	Spain - Austria	33:33 ✺
14.01.24	Croatia - Austria	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 LTWTT
- Iceland handball
Handball European Championship
22.01.24	Croatia - Iceland	30:35 ✺
20.01.24	France - Iceland	39:32 ✺
18.01.24	Germany - Iceland	26:24 ✺
16.01.24	Iceland - Hungary	25:33 ✺
14.01.24	Montenegro - Iceland	30:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Handball
08.01.24	Austria - Iceland	30:37
06.01.24	Austria - Iceland	28:33
Handball World Championship
16.04.22	Iceland - Austria	34:26
13.04.22	Austria - Iceland	30:34
Friendly International Handball
05.04.14	Iceland - Austria	27:36
04.04.14	Iceland - Austria	37:35
Handball European Championship
18.01.14	Austria - Iceland	27:33

Austria - Iceland