Match Info

Andebol 1 - Round 6

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Avanca		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	3.70	8.75	1.39
	3.8	9	1.37
	4.14	8.2	1.36	Watch
	3.75	10	1.37
	3.44	9.5	1.45
	3.9	10	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4)	9.24 ↑ (7.8)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avanca
24.2%

Draw
9.9%

Belenenses
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

11.4%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

12.2%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avanca than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Avanca - Belenenses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avanca won 1.

Avanca is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Belenenses has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Belenenses is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Avanca has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 558:602 (averaging 27.9:30.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avanca against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 273:286 goals (averaging 27.3:28.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Belenenses	7	2	0	5	186:220	11
12	Avanca	7	1	0	6	175:241	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Avanca
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.09.26	Benfica - Avanca	38:20 ✺
19.09.26	Avanca - ABC Braga	26:27 ✺
12.09.26	Avanca - Santo Tirso	30:36 ✺
29.08.26	Avanca - Porto	20:42 ✺
26.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Avanca	46:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Belenenses Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
23.09.26	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon	27:43 ✺
20.09.26	Porto - Belenenses	40:25 ✺
12.09.26	Belenenses - Póvoa	25:28 ✺
05.09.26	Águas Santas - Belenenses	31:28 ✺
29.08.26	Belenenses - Vitoria Guimarães	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
14.02.26	Belenenses - Avanca	37:27
18.10.25	Avanca - Belenenses	33:31
07.12.24	Belenenses - Avanca	33:30
20.11.24	Avanca - Belenenses	24:28
23.03.24	Belenenses - Avanca	34:28
11.11.23	Avanca - Belenenses	24:32
18.03.23	Avanca - Belenenses	24:25

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