Match Info

Andebol 1 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Avanca		Nazaré

	1	X	2
	1.42	10	3.4
	1.45	8.8	3.35	Watch
	1.53	8.2	3.16	Watch
	1.4	8.5	3.25
	1.51	8.4	3.28
	1.45	8.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.42)	8.78 ↓ (8.91)	3.3 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avanca
62.2%

Draw
10.3%

Nazaré
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

10.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

10.1%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Nazaré has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avanca than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nazaré than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Avanca - Nazaré Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:26

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Preview

Recent matches Avanca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nazaré is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Avanca have a series of home games.

In this match Avanca is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Avanca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 86:72 (average 28.7:24).

Including matches at home between the teams Avanca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27:25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Avanca
Portuguese Andebol 1
05.04.25	Póvoa - Avanca	27:30 ✺
29.03.25	Avanca - Sporting da Horta	31:28 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
22.03.25	Avanca - Sporting da Horta	35:24 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
08.03.25	Avanca - Porto	19:37 ✺
01.03.25	Avanca - Póvoa	25:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLL
- Nazaré Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
05.04.25	Nazaré - Sporting da Horta	28:25 ✺
29.03.25	Póvoa - Nazaré	26:24 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
22.03.25	Nazaré - ABC Braga	26:36 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
01.03.25	Águas Santas - Nazaré	35:25 ✺
23.02.25	Nazaré - Sporting Lisbon	21:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Andebol 1
16.11.24	Nazaré - Avanca	24:24
31.08.24	Avanca - Nazaré	27:25
08.06.23	Nazaré - Avanca	23:35

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