Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 14

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	BM Granollers		Bidasoa Irun

	1	X	2
	1.75	8.5	2.7	Watch
	1.75	7.8	2.5
	1.82	6.97	2.49	Watch
	1.73	7.5	2.5
	1.76	8.8	2.5	Watch
	1.69	8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.63)	7.93 ↓ (8.94)	2.56 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BM Granollers
52.5%

Draw
11.6%

Bidasoa Irun
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

10.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

9.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BM Granollers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Bidasoa Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Granollers than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BM Granollers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

BM Granollers - Bidasoa Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. BM Granollers will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bidasoa will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BM Granollers won 2.

BM Granollers has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bidasoa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

BM Granollers will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that BM Granollers will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, BM Granollers won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 586:602. (average 29.3:30.1).

Including home matches between the teams, BM Granollers won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 272:273. (average 30.2:30.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Granollers
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.12.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - BM Granollers	28:32 ✺
06.12.25	Morrazo Cangas - BM Granollers	27:33 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	BM Granollers - Minaur Baia Mare	29:28 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
29.11.25	BM Granollers - Villa de Aranda	28:22 ✺
EHF European League
25.11.25	Skanderborg - BM Granollers	28:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW
- Bidasoa Irun
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.12.25	Bidasoa Irun - Morrazo Cangas	30:27 ✺
06.12.25	Villa de Aranda - Bidasoa Irun	32:36 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	Flensburg-Handewitt - Bidasoa Irun	38:35 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
29.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	34:24 ✺
EHF European League
25.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Potaissa Turda	35:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.04.25	Bidasoa Irun - BM Granollers	30:28
23.11.24	BM Granollers - Bidasoa Irun	36:35
07.04.24	BM Granollers - Bidasoa Irun	30:30
09.11.23	Bidasoa Irun - BM Granollers	30:33
14.05.23	BM Granollers - Bidasoa Irun	35:35
19.11.22	Bidasoa Irun - BM Granollers	30:32
Spanish Copa de Espana Handball
04.06.22	Bidasoa Irun - BM Granollers	32:28

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