Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA ASOBAL - ROUND 12

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	BM Sinfín		Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	3.1	8.5	1.6	Watch
	3	8.75	1.57	Watch
	2.87	8.33	1.63
	2.8	8	1.55
	2.84	8.3	1.66	Watch
	2.9	8.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.85)	8.35 ↑ (8.3)	1.6 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BM Sinfín
31.5%

Draw
11%

Torrelavega
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

11%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

11.4%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BM Sinfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BM Sinfín than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

BM Sinfín - Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:32

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sinfín won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Torrelavega will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sinfín won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 159-179.

Including matches at home between the teams Sinfín won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 80-92.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Sinfín
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.11.23	Barcelona - BM Sinfín	44:25 ✺
12.11.23	BM Sinfín - Bidasoa Irun	21:29 ✺
07.11.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - BM Sinfín	38:38 ✺
27.10.23	BM Sinfín - BM Huesca	29:29 ✺
22.10.23	Morrazo Cangas - BM Sinfín	31:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLTTW
- BM Torrelavega
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.11.23	Torrelavega - BM Granollers	31:35 ✺
11.11.23	Anaitasuna - Torrelavega	32:29 ✺
08.11.23	Torrelavega - Nava	33:26 ✺
27.10.23	Benidorm - Torrelavega	35:33 ✺
21.10.23	Torrelavega - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.05.23	BM Sinfín - Torrelavega	32:34
19.11.22	Torrelavega - BM Sinfín	34:30
09.04.22	Torrelavega - BM Sinfín	27:23
23.10.21	BM Sinfín - Torrelavega	19:27
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
10.03.18	Torrelavega - BM Sinfín	26:26
04.11.17	BM Sinfín - Torrelavega	29:31

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