Match Info

1. Bundesliga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	BVB Dortmund		Bensheim Auerbach

	1	X	2
	1.36	8.8	4
	1.31	8.25	4.52	Watch
	1.3	10	4
	1.35	10	4.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	9.26 ↑ (8.25)	4.15 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BVB Dortmund
68.3%

Draw
9.8%

Bensheim Auerbach
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

11%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

9.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BVB Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Bensheim Auerbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVB Dortmund than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BVB Dortmund that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bensheim Auerbach than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

BVB Dortmund - Bensheim Auerbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:29

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BVB Dortmund won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, BVB Dortmund is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, BVB Dortmund won 14 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 588:544. (average 29.4:27.2).

Including home matches between the teams, BVB Dortmund won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 215:202. (average 26.9:25.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	BVB Dortmund W	5	5	0	0	168:134	10
6	Bensheim-Auerbach W	5	2	1	2	153:146	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BVB Dortmund Handball
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
04.04.26	Blomberg-Lippe - BVB Dortmund	33:31 ✺
01.04.26	BVB Dortmund - Oldenburg	36:33 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
28.03.26	Ferencvárosi - BVB Dortmund	27:27 ✺
22.03.26	BVB Dortmund - Ferencvárosi	25:31 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
18.03.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - BVB Dortmund	32:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTLW
- HSG Bensheim Auerbach
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
04.04.26	Thüringer - Bensheim Auerbach	36:33 ✺
28.03.26	Bensheim Auerbach - Buxtehuder	36:32 ✺
18.03.26	Union Halle-Neustadt - Bensheim Auerbach	33:36 ✺
German DHB Pokal Women
15.03.26	Bensheim Auerbach - BVB Dortmund	25:30 ✺
14.03.26	Thüringer - Bensheim Auerbach	34:36 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German DHB Pokal Women
15.03.26	Bensheim Auerbach - BVB Dortmund	25:30
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
31.01.26	BVB Dortmund - Bensheim Auerbach	31:23
01.10.25	Bensheim Auerbach - BVB Dortmund	38:32
Club Friendly Handball Women
27.07.25	Bensheim Auerbach - BVB Dortmund	30:36
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
02.04.25	Bensheim Auerbach - BVB Dortmund	27:28
29.12.24	BVB Dortmund - Bensheim Auerbach	25:30
18.05.24	Bensheim Auerbach - BVB Dortmund	29:28

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