Match Info

Liga Nationala Women - Round 14

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Baia Mare		Gloria Bistrița

	1	X	2
	2.9	11	1.51
	2.88	8.5	1.53
	2.84	8.9	1.61
	3	9	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.48)	9.35 ↑ (8.25)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baia Mare
31.2%

Draw
9.7%

Gloria Bistrița
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

10.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

10.2%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Gloria Bistrița has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloria Bistrița's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baia Mare than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloria Bistrița than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Baia Mare - Gloria Bistrița Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baia Mare won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gloria Bistrița may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gloria Bistrița might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Baia Mare won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 436:477. (average 25.6:28.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Baia Mare won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 213:220. (average 26.6:27.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Bistrita W	5	5	0	0	171:120	10
10	Baia Mare W	5	2	0	3	153:157	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HCM Baia Mare Women
EHF European League Women
24.01.26	Thüringer - Baia Mare	33:32 ✺
17.01.26	Baia Mare - Mosonmagyaróvár	34:28 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
14.01.26	Baia Mare - CSM București	27:27 ✺
EHF European League Women
10.01.26	Larvik - Baia Mare	26:28 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
20.12.25	Dunărea Brăila - Baia Mare	32:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTWL
- CSM Gloria Bistrița Handball
EHF Champions League Women
25.01.26	Gloria Bistrița - Győri Audi ETO KC	22:27 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
21.01.26	Gloria Bistrița - Targu Jiu	33:19 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
18.01.26	Esbjerg - Gloria Bistrița	32:28 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
14.01.26	HC Zalău - Gloria Bistrița	17:34 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
10.01.26	Gloria Bistrița - Budućnost	34:38 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Liga Nationala Handball Women
24.09.25	Gloria Bistrița - Baia Mare	32:22
13.03.25	Baia Mare - Gloria Bistrița	24:30
09.10.24	Gloria Bistrița - Baia Mare	34:26
24.04.24	Baia Mare - Gloria Bistrița	24:27
20.10.23	Gloria Bistrița - Baia Mare	34:24
19.02.23	Baia Mare - Gloria Bistrița	31:30
11.09.22	Gloria Bistrița - Baia Mare	30:23

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