Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Final Four - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Lanxess Arena (Cologne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
France	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Sport 1
Poland	Eurosport 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Orange Sport 1, Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Barcelona		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.3	11	5	Watch
	1.3	10	5
	1.28	10.39	4.84	Watch
	1.25	12	4.8
	1.31	10.2	4.74	Watch
	1.28	11	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.33)	10.77 ↑ (9.93)	4.93 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
72.4%

Draw
8.7%

THW Kiel
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

9.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

9.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Barcelona - THW Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Lineups


13. Arino A.	34. Bellahcene S.
9. Carlsbogard J.	53. Bilyk N.
88. Cikusa P.	23. Dahmke R.
82. Frade L.	4. Duvnjak D.
20. Gomez A.	18. Ekberg N.
18. Janc B.	71. Ellefsen E.
37. Langaro H.	20. Faust J.
35. Makuc D.	21. Johansson E.
10. Mem D.	7. Landin M.
19. N'guessan T.	16. Mrkva T.
12. Nielsen E.	11. Overby P.
1. Perez de Vargas G.	61. Pekeler H.
22. Petrus T.	6. Reinkind H.
66. Richardson M.	49. Wallinius K.
99. Rodriguez J.	13. Weinhold S.
15. Wanne H.	17. Wiencek P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 3.

Barcelona in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kiel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcelona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 372-357.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 137-122.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Handball
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
02.06.24	Torrelavega - Barcelona	23:37 ✺
01.06.24	Bidasoa Irun - Barcelona	28:32 ✺
31.05.24	Barcelona - Morrazo Cangas	42:26 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.05.24	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Barcelona	20:51 ✺
17.05.24	Barcelona - BM Huesca	41:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWW
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
02.06.24	MT Melsungen - THW Kiel	23:23 ✺
29.05.24	THW Kiel - SC DHfK Leipzig	37:28 ✺
26.05.24	Gummersbach - THW Kiel	40:29 ✺
20.05.24	THW Kiel - Frisch Auf Göppingen	32:27 ✺
16.05.24	THW Kiel - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	26:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
30.11.22	Barcelona - THW Kiel	26:24
24.11.22	THW Kiel - Barcelona	30:30
18.06.22	THW Kiel - Barcelona	30:34
29.12.20	THW Kiel - Barcelona	33:28
26.11.20	Barcelona - THW Kiel	29:25
19.11.20	THW Kiel - Barcelona	26:32
Club World Championship Handball
31.08.19	THW Kiel - Barcelona	32:34

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