Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Bayer Dormagen		TUSEM Essen

	1	X	2
	1.7	7.5	2.55
	1.63	10.50	2.50
	1.65	7.36	2.69	Watch
	1.66	7.85	2.70
	1.72	8.80	2.56
	1.66	7.80	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)	8.3 ↑ (7.25)	2.62 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Dormagen
54.4%

Draw
10.9%

TUSEM Essen
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

12.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

13.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Dormagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

TUSEM Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Dormagen than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer Dormagen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TUSEM Essen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TUSEM Essen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bayer Dormagen - TUSEM Essen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:32

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer Dormagen won 3.

Bayer Dormagen is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by TUSEM Essen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bayer Dormagen holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Bayer Dormagen has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 504:489 (averaging 31.5:30.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bayer Dormagen against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 287:268 goals (averaging 31.9:29.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Dormagen	6	2	0	4	167:191	4
18	Essen	7	0	1	6	205:240	1

Last Results with these Odds

TUSEM Essen - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Dormagen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
12.09.26	Nettelstedt-Lübbecke - Bayer Dormagen	29:25 ✺
05.09.26	Lübeck-Schwartau - Bayer Dormagen	42:31 ✺
30.08.26	Bayer Dormagen - Elbflorenz	31:38 ✺
German DHB Pokal
23.08.26	Bayer Dormagen - Eisenach	26:34 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
12.08.26	Bayer Dormagen - Hamm-Westfalen	34:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- TUSEM Essen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
11.09.26	TUSEM Essen - Elbflorenz	26:42 ✺
06.09.26	GWD Minden - TUSEM Essen	34:34 ✺
30.08.26	TUSEM Essen - Nordhorn-Lingen	29:32 ✺
German DHB Pokal
21.08.26	TUSEM Essen - SC DHfK Leipzig	36:33 OT ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
07.08.26	Hamm-Westfalen - TUSEM Essen	30:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
28.02.26	Bayer Dormagen - TUSEM Essen	39:35
26.09.25	TUSEM Essen - Bayer Dormagen	38:40
07.03.25	TUSEM Essen - Bayer Dormagen	34:27
06.10.24	Bayer Dormagen - TUSEM Essen	30:21
Club Friendly Hanbdall
02.08.24	Bayer Dormagen - TUSEM Essen	32:37
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
26.12.23	Bayer Dormagen - TUSEM Essen	34:32
10.09.23	TUSEM Essen - Bayer Dormagen	26:23

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