Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Pavilhão 2 da Luz - Sport Lisboa e Benfica (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
Sweden	Viaplay


	Benfica		GOG

	1	X	2
	2.1	8	2
	1.62	7	2.4
	2.11	8	2
	2.12	8.13	2.02	Watch
	2.15	8	1.95
	2.09	8	2.09
	1.85	8.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.72)	7.91 ↓ (8.18)	2.1 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benfica
45.3%

Draw
11.5%

GOG
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

11.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

11.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.

GOG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GOG's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GOG than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GOG, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Benfica - GOG Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). GOG will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GOG: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

#ad

Lineups


27. Baptista R.	23. Als J.
22. Borges A.	43. Andersen E.
41. Capdeville G.	64. Boutaf S.
5. Cavalcanti G.	15. Grondahl T.
20. Franca Silva F.	9. Jakobsen H.
30. Grigoras D.	12. Johannesson P.
77. Hanusz E.	21. Kildelund K.
4. Hedberg C.	66. Lindskog A.
24. Izquierdo A.	29. Lykke H.
11. Moreira B.	10. Pedersen F.
21. Pagliotta de Andres A.	4. Pedersen K.
23. Rahmel O.	3. Pedersen N.
2. Sanchez-Migallon M.	37. Persson L.
12. Simao de Almeida B.	19. Rasmussen O.
28. Taleski F.	8. Tilsted F.
7. Valencia S. T.	7. Vilhelmsen L. S.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Benfica is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

GOG is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 63:72 (average 31.5:36).

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Handball
Taca de Portugal Handball
22.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	41:36 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	Benfica - Bidasoa Irun	33:30 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.02.25	ABC Braga - Benfica	34:37 ✺
EHF European League
25.02.25	Ystads IF - Benfica	37:33 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
21.02.25	Benfica - Belenenses	44:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLW
- GOG Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
22.03.25	GOG - Nordsjælland	35:32 ✺
08.03.25	Sønderjysk Elite - GOG	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	GOG - BM Granollers	32:31 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
28.02.25	GOG - KIF Kolding	32:28 ✺
EHF European League
25.02.25	Montpellier HB - GOG	30:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
01.03.22	GOG - Benfica	39:38
23.11.21	Benfica - GOG	25:33

Upcoming Matches