Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Benfica		Rhein-Neckar Löwen

	1	X	2
	3.5	9	1.4	Watch
	3.4	11	1.44
	3.36	9.8	1.47
	3.6	9	1.36
	2.81	8.5	1.66
	3.3	9.4	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (4.13)	9.45 ↓ (9.71)	1.47 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
27.6%

Draw
9.7%

Rhein-Neckar Löwen
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

9.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Rhein-Neckar Löwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rhein-Neckar Löwen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhein-Neckar Löwen than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rhein-Neckar Löwen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Benfica - Rhein Neckar Löwen Predictions

Users Predictions: Rhein-Neckar Löwen will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34

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Preview

Benfica is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rhein-Neckar Löwen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rhein-Neckar Löwen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rhein-Neckar Löwen have a series of home games.

In this match Rhein-Neckar Löwen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 64-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 33-28.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
09.11.23	Benfica - Madeira	44:28 ✺
28.10.23	Vitoria Setúbal - Benfica	19:34 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Benfica - Kristianstad	36:33 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
21.10.23	Benfica - ABC Braga	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
17.10.23	HBC Nantes - Benfica	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWTL
- Rhein-Neckar Löwen
German Bundesliga Handball
12.11.23	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - THW Kiel	25:31 ✺
09.11.23	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - SC DHfK Leipzig	32:28 ✺
28.10.23	MT Melsungen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	30:23 ✺
EHF European League
24.10.23	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - HBC Nantes	36:32 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
22.10.23	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Gummersbach	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
28.09.21	Benfica - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	33:28
21.09.21	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Benfica	31:31

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