Match Info

SPAIN: Liga ASOBAL - Round 14

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Palau d'Esports L'Illa de Benidorm (Benidorm)


	Benidorm		Morrazo Cangas

	1	X	2
	1.78	8.5	2.7
	1.72	8.75	2.6
	1.72	8	2.55
	1.75	8.24	2.64	Watch
	1.75	7.5	2.45
	1.76	8.1	2.61
	1.72	8	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.63)	8.16 ↓ (8.43)	2.59 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benidorm
53%

Draw
11.3%

Morrazo Cangas
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

10.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

11.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benidorm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Morrazo Cangas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benidorm than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benidorm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morrazo Cangas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Benidorm - Morrazo Cangas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


13. De Angelis T.	74. Abdelaziz O.
23. Durovic M.	2. Abdelsadek M.
4. Ferrandez P.	9. Diaz Ledo A.
8. Hernandez J.	19. Fernandez A.
22. Lopez H.	25. Fodorean R.
93. Mane A.	21. Gallardo J.
20. Martinez R.	14. Gayo M.
11. Moscariello L.	4. Gonzalez B.
24. Pieras M.	44. Lopez S.
55. Roca D.	10. Quintas J.
19. Sempere J.	11. Rio R.
5. Vainstein P.	6. Thymann M.
34. Valles I.	18. Toth R.
21. Zarikos N.
10. Zhukov D.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga ASOBAL (Relegation) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benidorm won 3.

Benidorm is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cangas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benidorm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Benidorm will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Benidorm won 11 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 526:514 (average 27.7:27.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Benidorm won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 266:234 (average 29.6:26).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Benidorm
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.12.24	Torrelavega - Benidorm	29:29 ✺
08.12.24	Benidorm - Reale Ademar	28:28 ✺
30.11.24	Bidasoa Irun - Benidorm	31:30 ✺
27.11.24	Villa de Aranda - Benidorm	32:24 ✺
22.11.24	Benidorm - BM Huesca	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLLL
- Morrazo Cangas
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
15.12.24	Morrazo Cangas - BM Granollers	38:36 ✺
07.12.24	Quabit Guadalajara - Morrazo Cangas	31:37 ✺
30.11.24	Morrazo Cangas - Nava	34:35 ✺
23.11.24	Morrazo Cangas - BM Ciudad Encantada	36:29 ✺
17.11.24	Torrelavega - Morrazo Cangas	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.02.24	Benidorm - Morrazo Cangas	32:23
24.09.23	Morrazo Cangas - Benidorm	34:34
18.02.23	Morrazo Cangas - Benidorm	27:27
18.09.22	Benidorm - Morrazo Cangas	36:31
10.04.22	Benidorm - Morrazo Cangas	31:24
23.10.21	Morrazo Cangas - Benidorm	33:28
13.02.21	Morrazo Cangas - Benidorm	24:26

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