Match Info

NLA - Round 5

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Bern Muri		Amicitia Zurich

	1	X	2
	1.12	12	7
	1.14	12.50	7.50
	1.09	11.5	6.75
	1.12	12	6.7
	1.17	13	6.62
	1.12	12	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.31)	12.17 ↑ (9.81)	6.9 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bern Muri
79.6%

Draw
7.4%

Amicitia Zurich
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

9.2%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

8.5%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bern Muri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bern Muri's performance.

Amicitia Zurich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amicitia Zurich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bern Muri than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bern Muri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amicitia Zurich than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amicitia Zurich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bern Muri - Amicitia Zurich Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:28

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bern won 3.

Bern is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Amicitia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Amicitia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bern is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bern won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 573:564. (average 28.7:28.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bern won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 263:248. (average 29.2:27.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Bern	8	4	1	3	246:233	9
9	Zurich	8	3	0	5	247:266	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSV Bern Muri
EHF European Cup
13.09.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bern Muri	25:40
12.09.26	Bern Muri - Maccabi Tel Aviv	39:25
Swiss NLA Handball
06.09.26	Kadetten Schaffhausen - Bern Muri	31:29 ✺
02.09.26	Bern Muri - RTV Basel	30:28 ✺
29.08.26	Handball Stäfa - Bern Muri	21:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLWW
- GC Amicitia Zurich
Swiss NLA Handball
05.09.26	Wacker Thun - Amicitia Zurich	38:30 ✺
02.09.26	Amicitia Zurich - Kadetten Schaffhausen	28:34 ✺
29.08.26	RTV Basel - Amicitia Zurich	29:35 ✺
Schweizer Cup Handball
29.08.26	Pratteln - Amicitia Zurich	32:34
Swiss NLA Handball
26.08.26	Amicitia Zurich - Handball Stäfa	39:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss NLA Handball
07.02.26	Amicitia Zurich - Bern Muri	27:27
05.11.25	Bern Muri - Amicitia Zurich	28:25
03.09.25	Amicitia Zurich - Bern Muri	24:28
08.03.25	Amicitia Zurich - Bern Muri	33:30
12.12.24	Bern Muri - Amicitia Zurich	33:26
15.09.24	Amicitia Zurich - Bern Muri	31:35
03.02.24	Bern Muri - Amicitia Zurich	25:26

Upcoming Matches