Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE WOMEN - ROUND 3

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Besançon		BVB Dortmund

	1	X	2
	1.5	8.5	3.1	Watch
	1.6	10	2.7
	1.46	9.5	3.4
	1.48	9.2	2.95
	1.5	9	3.1
	1.53	9.8	3.13	Watch
	1.51	9.8	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.1)	9.4 ↑ (8)	3.06 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besançon
60.4%

Draw
9.7%

BVB Dortmund
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

11.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

11.8%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besançon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Besançon's performance.

BVB Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BVB Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besançon than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Besançon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BVB Dortmund than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BVB Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Besançon - BVB Dortmund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

Besançon in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

BVB Dortmund is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Besançon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Besançon will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Besançon to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Besançon
French Division 1 Handball Women
18.01.23	Plan de Cuques - Besançon	20:24 ✺
EHF European League Women
14.01.23	Molde Elite - Besançon	29:41 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
11.01.23	Besançon - Saint-Amand	30:22 ✺
EHF European League Women
08.01.23	Besançon - Siófok KC	30:21 ✺
French Division 1 Handball Women
04.01.23	Besançon - Celles-sur-Belle	29:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- BVB Dortmund Handball
EHF European League Women
15.01.23	Siófok KC - BVB Dortmund	27:24 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
11.01.23	BVB Dortmund - Thüringer	30:30 ✺
EHF European League Women
08.01.23	BVB Dortmund - Molde Elite	33:32 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
04.01.23	Blomberg-Lippe - BVB Dortmund	30:33 ✺
30.12.22	BVB Dortmund - Bad Wildungen Vipers	42:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWWW

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