Match Info

TURKEY: SUPERLIG - ROUND 7

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Beykoz Belediyespor		Sakarya

	1	X	2
	3.56	8.37	1.41
	3.68	8.9	1.41
	2.15	8.4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (1.81)	8.56 ↑ (7.92)	1.57 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.25

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beykoz Belediyespor
29.8%

Draw
10.9%

Sakarya
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

11.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

10.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beykoz Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beykoz Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Sakarya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sakarya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beykoz Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beykoz Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakarya than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sakarya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.9%	5.7%	91.4%

Beykoz Belediyespor - Sakarya Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Beykoz Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). Sakarya will win (votes: 32 - 91.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakarya: 82.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

Beykoz Belediyespor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sakarya is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sakarya will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beykoz Belediyespor won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 164-158.

Including matches at home between the teams Beykoz Belediyespor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 99-92.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beykoz Belediyespor
EHF European Cup
15.10.23	Beykoz Belediyespor - Vise	31:29 ✺
Turkish Superlig Handball
01.10.23	Bursa Nilüfer Belediyespor - Beykoz Belediyespor	21:31 ✺
24.09.23	Beykoz Belediyespor - Bahçelievler	36:22 ✺
17.09.23	Köyceğiz Belediye - Beykoz Belediyespor	25:32 ✺
10.09.23	Beykoz Belediyespor - Izmir BSB	32:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL
- Sakarya BSB Handball
EHF European Cup
15.10.23	Runar - Sakarya	42:29 ✺
Turkish Superlig Handball
24.09.23	Rize Genclik - Sakarya	30:33 ✺
19.09.23	Sakarya - Spor Toto Maliye Millî Piyango	40:38 ✺
10.09.23	Trabzon - Sakarya	33:42 ✺
04.09.23	Sakarya - Beşiktaş	28:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Superlig Handball
09.06.23	Beykoz Belediyespor - Sakarya	28:26
08.06.23	Beykoz Belediyespor - Sakarya	39:35
05.06.23	Sakarya - Beykoz Belediyespor	30:31
18.12.22	Beykoz Belediyespor - Sakarya	32:31
13.09.22	Sakarya - Beykoz Belediyespor	36:34

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