Match Info

European League - Round 4

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Bidasoa Irun		Montpellier HB

	1	X	2
	3.2	8.5	1.47	Watch
	2.9	9.4	1.54
	3.04	8.64	1.53	Watch
	3	8.5	1.5
	3.02	9.2	1.55
	2.47	8.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.46)	8.79 ↑ (8.5)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bidasoa Irun
31%

Draw
10.4%

Montpellier HB
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

10.7%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

11.6%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bidasoa Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bidasoa Irun's form might have worsened.

Montpellier HB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier HB's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bidasoa Irun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier HB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bidasoa Irun - Montpellier HB Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Montpellier (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:34

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Lineups


23. Arruti O.	34. Balaguer D.
2. Cavero I.	12. Bolzinger C.
10. Furundarena E.	60. Calbry N.
32. Garcia D.	92. Desbonnet R.
7. Gastaminza F.	19. Lenne A.
8. Gonzalez X.	13. Moraes R.
4. Jevtic M.	90. Plantin L.
40. Maciel L.	28. Porte V.
24. Mielczarski P.	93. Prat K.
19. Mugica J.	22. Richert B.
27. Nevado M.	4. Simonet D.
22. Raix A.	11. Srna Z.
11. Salinas E.	15. Thurin J.
33. Skrzyniarz J.	5. Villeminot K.
34. Valles I.
6. Wamba E.

Preview

Montpellier is Qualified for European League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Montpellier is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bidasoa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bidasoa Irun
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
06.03.26	BM Huesca - Bidasoa Irun	25:31 ✺
EHF European League
03.03.26	THW Kiel - Bidasoa Irun	27:20 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
27.02.26	Bidasoa Irun - Nava	26:27 ✺
EHF European League
24.02.26	Bidasoa Irun - THW Kiel	32:37 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
21.02.26	Reale Ademar - Bidasoa Irun	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW
- Montpellier HB
French Starligue Handball
07.03.26	Montpellier HB - Paris Saint-Germain	30:32 ✺
EHF European League
03.03.26	Montpellier HB - Flensburg-Handewitt	35:32 ✺
French Starligue Handball
27.02.26	Chambery SH - Montpellier HB	31:35 ✺
EHF European League
24.02.26	Flensburg-Handewitt - Montpellier HB	40:35 ✺
French Starligue Handball
20.02.26	Montpellier HB - Istres OPH	33:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
17.02.26	Montpellier HB - Bidasoa Irun	38:33

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