Match Info

1. Bundesliga Women - Round 6

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Buxtehuder		BVB Dortmund

	1	X	2
	5.4	9.4	1.24
	4.79	8.68	1.31	Watch
	5.06	12.2	1.23
	4.25	9.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.08)	9.95 ↑ (8.59)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxtehuder
18.8%

Draw
9.2%

BVB Dortmund
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

10.7%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

11.3%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxtehuder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

BVB Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BVB Dortmund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxtehuder than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buxtehuder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BVB Dortmund than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BVB Dortmund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buxtehuder - BVB Dortmund Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BVB Dortmund (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC, 1st Half - BVB Dortmund (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. BVB Dortmund (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxtehuder won 0.

Recent form of Buxtehuder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, BVB Dortmund has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, BVB Dortmund has had a series of home games.

In this match, BVB Dortmund is a strong favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Buxtehuder won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 471:527. (average 24.8:27.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Buxtehuder won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 245:261. (average 24.5:26.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxtehuder SV Handball
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
12.10.25	Oldenburg - Buxtehuder	29:23 ✺
05.10.25	Buxtehuder - Frisch Auf Göppingen	34:34 ✺
German DHB Pokal Women
28.09.25	Thüringer - Buxtehuder	34:27 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
13.09.25	Neckarsulmer - Buxtehuder	31:22 ✺
06.09.25	Buxtehuder - Thüringer	29:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLLT
- BVB Dortmund Handball
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
11.10.25	BVB Dortmund - Union Halle-Neustadt	41:29 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
04.10.25	BVB Dortmund - Storhamar	22:26 ✺
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
01.10.25	Bensheim Auerbach - BVB Dortmund	38:32 ✺
EHF Champions League Women
28.09.25	BVB Dortmund - Debreceni VSC	28:26 ✺
German DHB Pokal Women
24.09.25	BVB Dortmund - Sachsen Zwickau	29:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Handball Women
15.08.25	BVB Dortmund - Buxtehuder	38:37 OT
German 1 Bundesliga Handball Women
08.01.25	Buxtehuder - BVB Dortmund	21:28
07.09.24	BVB Dortmund - Buxtehuder	25:25
25.05.24	BVB Dortmund - Buxtehuder	29:21
27.01.24	Buxtehuder - BVB Dortmund	25:26
15.03.23	BVB Dortmund - Buxtehuder	24:27
22.10.22	Buxtehuder - BVB Dortmund	31:30

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