Match Info

HLA - Round 18

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Bärnbach Köflach		Linz

	1	X	2
	2.14	7.8	1.98
	2.32	6.81	1.92	Watch
	2.1	7.5	2
	2.17	8.5	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.78)	7.65 ↑ (6.78)	1.96 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bärnbach Köflach
41.7%

Draw
11.9%

Linz
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

13.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

12.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bärnbach Köflach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bärnbach Köflach's form might have worsened.

Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bärnbach Köflach than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bärnbach Köflach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linz than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Linz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bärnbach Köflach - Linz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bärnbach Köflach won 2.

Bärnbach Köflach is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Linz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bärnbach Köflach won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 534:580. (average 26.7:29).

Including home matches between the teams, Bärnbach Köflach won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 267:285. (average 26.7:28.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Linz	5	3	0	2	154:149	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Bärnbach Köflach
Austrian NLA Handball
07.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Bärnbach Köflach	36:28 ✺
04.03.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Vöslauer	28:30 ✺
28.02.26	Bregenz - Bärnbach Köflach	28:25 ✺
21.02.26	Bärnbach Köflach - HSG Graz	30:29 ✺
14.02.26	Tirol - Bärnbach Köflach	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- HC Linz AG
Austrian NLA Handball
07.03.26	Linz - Hollabrunn	33:26 ✺
04.03.26	Linz - Fivers Margareten	32:33 ✺
28.02.26	Vöslauer - Linz	34:30 ✺
21.02.26	Linz - Bregenz	35:33 ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
18.02.26	Fivers Margareten - Linz	35:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
25.10.25	Linz - Bärnbach Köflach	23:17
15.02.25	Linz - Bärnbach Köflach	32:36
27.09.24	Bärnbach Köflach - Linz	20:30
24.02.24	Bärnbach Köflach - Linz	36:30
30.09.23	Linz - Bärnbach Köflach	24:24
10.12.22	Linz - Bärnbach Köflach	34:24
07.09.22	Bärnbach Köflach - Linz	21:30

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