Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3


	CSM Constanța		Bidasoa Irun

	1	X	2
	2.15	8	2	Watch
	2	9	2.15
	2.14	7.8	1.98	Watch
	2.15	8.03	2
	2.15	8	1.95
	2.16	7.8	1.99
	2.14	7.8	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.68)	8.06 ↓ (8.18)	2.01 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSM Constanța
43%

Draw
11.4%

Bidasoa Irun
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

11.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

10.7%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSM Constanța has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSM Constanța's form might have worsened.

Bidasoa Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bidasoa Irun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM Constanța than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSM Constanța, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidasoa Irun than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bidasoa Irun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

CSM Constanța - Bidasoa Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Constanța will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Bidasoa will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bidasoa: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Lineups


13. Aliokhin M.	20. Boskos T.
7. Andrei A.	23. Carceller A.
17. Buzle I.	37. Carceller J.
14. Cabut C.	2. Cavero I.
8. Chikovani I.	28. Da Silva M. F.
20. Dragan A.	10. Furundarena E.
10. Ilie G.	32. Garcia D.
34. Komogorov V.	9. Gey-Emparan T.
22. Mourino G.	4. Jevtic M.
23. Nikolic Z.	40. Maciel L.
5. Nistor I.	39. Nieto A.
1. Rusu D.	31. Nieto G.
31. Stankovic S.	11. Salinas E.
24. Szasz A.	17. Salinas R.
27. Ungureanu N.	33. Skrzyniarz J.
16. Vasile D.	8. Zabala M.

Preview

Recent matches CSM Constanța is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bidasoa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CSM Constanța could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Constanța Handball
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
18.10.24	Universitatea Bucovina Suceava - CSM Constanța	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
15.10.24	Chrobry Głogów - CSM Constanța	37:33 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
11.10.24	CSM Constanța - Vaslui	33:31 ✺
EHF European League
08.10.24	CSM Constanța - Ystads IF	29:29 ✺
Romanian Liga Nationala Handball
04.10.24	Fagaras - CSM Constanța	27:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWTW
- Bidasoa Irun
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.10.24	Torrelavega - Bidasoa Irun	30:34 ✺
EHF European League
15.10.24	Ystads IF - Bidasoa Irun	23:29 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.10.24	Bidasoa Irun - Reale Ademar	22:27 ✺
EHF European League
08.10.24	Bidasoa Irun - Chrobry Głogów	33:33 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.10.24	Bidasoa Irun - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLTW

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