Match Info

Proligue - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Caen		Pau Billère

	1	X	2
	2.08	7	2.1
	2.17	6.8	2.04	Watch
	2.06	8.7	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.33)	7.5 ↑ (6.73)	2.06 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
43.4%

Draw
12.2%

Pau Billère
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

13.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

11.9%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caen's performance.

Pau Billère has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau Billère than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau Billère could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caen - Pau Billère Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:33

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Pau Billère may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Caen has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Caen won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 329:345. (average 29.9:31.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 156:156. (average 31.2:31.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Pau Billere	6	6	0	0	188:158	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
15.04.26	Saran Loiret - Caen	42:28 ✺
10.04.26	Caen - Ivry	31:30 ✺
03.04.26	Caen - Angers	37:31 ✺
13.03.26	Caen - Massy Essonne	36:31 ✺
07.03.26	Caen - Saintes	32:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWW
- Pau Billère Handball
French Proligue Handball
14.04.26	Cherbourg - Pau Billère	23:32 ✺
03.04.26	Saintes - Pau Billère	33:37 ✺
27.03.26	Pau Billère - Saran Loiret	28:27 ✺
13.03.26	Frontignan Thau - Pau Billère	31:22 ✺
07.03.26	Pau Billère - Cournon dAuvergne	42:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
21.11.25	Pau Billère - Caen	38:32
23.05.25	Pau Billère - Caen	28:29
20.05.25	Caen - Pau Billère	28:26
08.04.25	Caen - Pau Billère	31:39
01.11.24	Pau Billère - Caen	30:25
09.04.24	Caen - Pau Billère	35:32
08.12.23	Pau Billère - Caen	35:33

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