Match Info

Proligue - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 May 2025, Tuesday


	Cherbourg		Selestat AHB

	1	X	2
	3.4	11	1.4
	3.65	10	1.38
	4.06	9.75	1.38	Watch
	3.6	10	1.36
	4.03	9.1	1.36	Watch
	3.65	10	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.82)	9.98 ↑ (9.37)	1.38 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherbourg
24.5%

Draw
9.2%

Selestat AHB
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

9.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

9.9%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Selestat AHB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherbourg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selestat AHB than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Cherbourg - Selestat AHB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30

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Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherbourg won 1.

Recent performances by Cherbourg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Selestat is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Selestat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Selestat is a strong favorite.

We predict that Selestat will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cherbourg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 322:334. (average 26.8:27.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cherbourg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 138:143. (average 27.6:28.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JS Cherbourg
French Proligue Handball
02.05.25	Saran Loiret - Cherbourg	34:31 ✺
25.04.25	Cherbourg - Angers	33:26 ✺
18.04.25	Valence - Cherbourg	27:29 ✺
11.04.25	Cherbourg - Pau Billère	22:23 ✺
08.04.25	Frontignan Thau - Cherbourg	33:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWLL
- Selestat AHB
French Proligue Handball
16.05.25	Selestat AHB - Saran Loiret	29:21 ✺
02.05.25	Frontignan Thau - Selestat AHB	35:34 ✺
19.04.25	Cournon dAuvergne - Selestat AHB	31:35 ✺
11.04.25	Selestat AHB - Caen	30:24 ✺
08.04.25	Sarrebourg - Selestat AHB	26:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
04.04.25	Cherbourg - Selestat AHB	19:32
20.09.24	Selestat AHB - Cherbourg	25:20
24.05.24	Selestat AHB - Cherbourg	32:29
21.05.24	Cherbourg - Selestat AHB	26:30
16.02.24	Selestat AHB - Cherbourg	28:31
29.09.23	Cherbourg - Selestat AHB	27:28
05.06.22	Selestat AHB - Cherbourg	36:30

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