Match Info

Superleague Women - 5th-8th places - 7th place

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk		Zvezda Zvenigorod

	1	X	2
	1.47	9.3	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)	9.3 ↑ (7.9)	3.38 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chernomorochka Novorossiysk
62.8%

Draw
9.9%

Zvezda Zvenigorod
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

11.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

11.7%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chernomorochka Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Zvezda Zvenigorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorochka Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Zvenigorod than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Zvezda Zvenigorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:26

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Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernomorochka won 4.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Chernomorochka is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chernomorochka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 254:233. (average 31.8:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chernomorochka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 124:116. (average 31:29).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Chernomorochka W	7	4	0	3	212:205	8
8	Zvenigorod W	7	3	0	4	208:223	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chernomorochka Novorossiysk
Russian Superleague Handball Women
06.05.26	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Kuban Krasnodar	28:29 ✺
27.04.26	Kuban Krasnodar - Chernomorochka Novorossiysk	20:26 ✺
18.04.26	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Kuban Krasnodar	28:29 ✺
22.03.26	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Astrahanochka	20:27 ✺
14.03.26	Astrahanochka - Chernomorochka Novorossiysk	28:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Zvezda Zvenigorod
Russian Superleague Handball Women
05.05.26	Zvezda Zvenigorod - Dinamo-Sinara Volgograd	24:25 ✺
26.04.26	Dinamo-Sinara Volgograd - Zvezda Zvenigorod	29:24 ✺
17.04.26	Zvezda Zvenigorod - Dinamo-Sinara Volgograd	34:22 ✺
Russian Cup Handball Women
05.04.26	Zvezda Zvenigorod - Astrahanochka	26:26 ✺
04.04.26	Rostov-Don - Zvezda Zvenigorod	31:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Superleague Handball Women
31.01.26	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Zvezda Zvenigorod	25:21
27.10.25	Zvezda Zvenigorod - Chernomorochka Novorossiysk	26:28
24.05.25	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Zvezda Zvenigorod	24:28
17.05.25	Zvezda Zvenigorod - Chernomorochka Novorossiysk	30:33
16.11.24	Zvezda Zvenigorod - Chernomorochka Novorossiysk	29:36
12.09.24	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Zvezda Zvenigorod	36:35
08.11.23	Chernomorochka Novorossiysk - Zvezda Zvenigorod	39:32

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