Match Info

WORLD: World Championship

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jyske Bank Boxen (Herning)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay


	Czech Republic		Italy

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.65	8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.87)	8 (8)	2.75 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czech Republic
55.4%

Draw
11.4%

Italy
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

11.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

10.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czech Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Czech Republic's performance.

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czech Republic than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Czech Republic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Italy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

Czech Republic - Italy Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Czech Republic will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Italy will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Czech Republic: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:27

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Lineups


19. Babak T.	19. Bortoli T.
93. Blecha J.	13. Bronzo U.
28. Havran M.	6. Bulzamini D.
4. Hrdlicka J.	16. Colleluori A.
2. Hrstka J.	5. Dapiran G.
23. Josef J.	1. Ebner D.
17. Kasparek S.	24. Helmersson M.
39. Morkovsky L.	17. Iballi E.
1. Mrkva T.	25. Marrochi P.
7. Piroch T.	10. Mengon M.
18. Reichl V.	15. Mengon S.
77. Reznicky D.	32. Parisini A.
6. Skopar D.	29. Pirani J.
34. Solak D.	2. Prantner L.
14. Sterba J.	30. Romei T.
66. Zeman S.	8. Savini G.
Coaches
. Sabate X.	. Trillini R.

Preview

Czech Republic is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Italy is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Czech Republic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czech Republic handball
Handball World Championship
19.01.25	Germany - Czech Republic	29:22 ✺
17.01.25	Czech Republic - Poland	19:19 ✺
15.01.25	Czech Republic - Switzerland	17:17 ✺
Friendly International Handball
09.01.25	Portugal - Czech Republic	32:31 ✺
08.01.25	France - Czech Republic	37:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLL
- Italy handball
Handball World Championship
18.01.25	Denmark - Italy	39:20 ✺
16.01.25	Italy - Algeria	32:23 ✺
14.01.25	Italy - Tunisia	32:25 ✺
Friendly International Handball
05.01.25	Italy - Kosovo	28:25 ✺
04.01.25	Netherlands - Italy	31:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Czech Republic - Italy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide