Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 17

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Dessau-Roßlauer		Elbflorenz

	1	X	2
	2.27	8	1.87
	2.48	6.91	1.82	Watch
	2.2	8	1.83
	2.25	8.8	1.87
	2.2	8.5	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	8.04 ↑ (6.49)	1.85 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dessau-Roßlauer
39.7%

Draw
11.3%

Elbflorenz
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

13.8%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

13.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dessau-Roßlauer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Elbflorenz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elbflorenz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dessau-Roßlauer than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elbflorenz than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elbflorenz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dessau Roßlauer - Elbflorenz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 64.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dessau-Roßlauer won 2.

In recent matches, Dessau-Roßlauer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elbflorenz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dessau-Roßlauer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dessau-Roßlauer won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 460:474. (average 27.1:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dessau-Roßlauer won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 246:245. (average 27.3:27.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dessau-Roßlauer HV
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
21.12.25	HBW Balingen-Weilstetten - Dessau-Roßlauer	36:30 ✺
12.12.25	Bietigheim - Dessau-Roßlauer	33:25 ✺
07.12.25	Dessau-Roßlauer - Bayer Dormagen	41:36 ✺
30.11.25	Großwallstadt - Dessau-Roßlauer	29:34 ✺
24.11.25	Dessau-Roßlauer - Eintracht Hagen	35:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW
- HC Elbflorenz
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
21.12.25	Elbflorenz - Großwallstadt	41:32 ✺
11.12.25	Bayer Dormagen - Elbflorenz	34:34 ✺
06.12.25	Elbflorenz - Hüttenberg	37:33 ✺
28.11.25	Krefeld - Elbflorenz	27:43 ✺
22.11.25	Elbflorenz - TUSEM Essen	41:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
09.02.25	Elbflorenz - Dessau-Roßlauer	31:24
07.09.24	Dessau-Roßlauer - Elbflorenz	27:29
12.04.24	Dessau-Roßlauer - Elbflorenz	29:28
12.11.23	Elbflorenz - Dessau-Roßlauer	34:26
02.06.23	Dessau-Roßlauer - Elbflorenz	34:25
26.12.22	Elbflorenz - Dessau-Roßlauer	26:31
05.06.22	Elbflorenz - Dessau-Roßlauer	34:29

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