Match Info

Starligue - Round 5

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday


	Dunkerque		USAM Nimes

	1	X	2
	3.5	8.5	1.52
	2.95	10.5	1.57
	2.85	9.2	1.56
	1.09	11.08	12.20	Watch
	3.1	9.5	1.51	Watch
	3	9.2	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (4.31)	9.66 ↑ (9.1)	3.33 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
47.4%

Draw
13.5%

USAM Nimes
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

10.2%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

10.5%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunkerque's performance.

USAM Nimes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USAM Nimes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-25.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USAM Nimes than the current prediction. (+27.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USAM Nimes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dunkerque - USAM Nimes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.

Dunkerque has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Nimes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nimes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 522:566. (average 26.1:28.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 288:298. (average 26.2:27.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dunkerque HB
French Starligue Handball
26.09.25	Istres OPH - Dunkerque	32:32 ✺
19.09.25	Limoges - Dunkerque	39:29 ✺
12.09.25	Dunkerque - Chambery SH	29:33 ✺
06.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Dunkerque	32:28 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
22.08.25	Dunkerque - Creteil	29:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL
- USAM Nimes
French Starligue Handball
26.09.25	USAM Nimes - Selestat AHB	29:27 ✺
21.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - USAM Nimes	31:29 ✺
13.09.25	USAM Nimes - Tremblay	29:27 ✺
05.09.25	USAM Nimes - Istres OPH	29:28 ✺
Club Friendly Hanbdall
10.08.25	Porto - USAM Nimes	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Starligue Handball
25.04.25	USAM Nimes - Dunkerque	29:23
27.09.24	Dunkerque - USAM Nimes	29:24
18.04.24	Dunkerque - USAM Nimes	31:26
23.09.23	USAM Nimes - Dunkerque	33:28
15.04.23	USAM Nimes - Dunkerque	32:28
17.09.22	Dunkerque - USAM Nimes	32:34
08.05.22	USAM Nimes - Dunkerque	34:23

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