Match Info

Date: 3 June 2022, Friday


	EHV Aue		Emsdetten

	1	X	2
	1.6	9.25	2.9
	1.6	9.5	2.63
	1.6	7.8	2.7
	1.62	8	2.8
	1.62	7.5	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.4)	8.41 ↓ (9)	2.81 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EHV Aue
56.7%

Draw
10.8%

Emsdetten
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

10.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

10.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EHV Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EHV Aue's form might have worsened.

Emsdetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emsdetten's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHV Aue than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emsdetten than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emsdetten, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

EHV Aue - Emsdetten Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aue won 2.

Recent matches Aue is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Emsdetten is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Emsdetten could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aue is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Aue won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 311-324.

Including matches at home between the teams Aue won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 116-118.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EHV Aue
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
27.05.22	Bayer Dormagen - EHV Aue	28:21 ✺
22.05.22	EHV Aue - Empor Rostock	30:21 ✺
14.05.22	Eintracht Hagen - EHV Aue	29:32 ✺
04.05.22	EHV Aue - Großwallstadt	19:27 ✺
30.04.22	Eisenach - EHV Aue	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL
- TV Emsdetten
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
28.05.22	Emsdetten - Hamm-Westfalen	30:31 ✺
25.05.22	Emsdetten - Dessau-Roßlauer	35:34 ✺
21.05.22	Hüttenberg - Emsdetten	35:28 ✺
18.05.22	Großwallstadt - Emsdetten	35:26 ✺
14.05.22	Emsdetten - TUSEM Essen	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
23.12.21	Emsdetten - EHV Aue	24:26
29.05.21	EHV Aue - Emsdetten	31:30
24.03.21	Emsdetten - EHV Aue	35:28
15.12.19	Emsdetten - EHV Aue	28:25
09.03.19	Emsdetten - EHV Aue	31:28
28.09.18	EHV Aue - Emsdetten	32:33
17.03.18	Emsdetten - EHV Aue	32:32

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