Match Info

Champions League

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Max-Schmeling-Halle (Berlin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Viaplay
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay


	Füchse Berlin		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	1.3	11	5	Watch
	1.34	10	3.85
	1.39	8.79	4.34	Watch
	1.3	9	4.33
	1.46	10.3	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.6)	9.82 ↑ (9.53)	4.28 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Füchse Berlin
68.7%

Draw
9.5%

HBC Nantes
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

9.9%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

9.9%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Füchse Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Füchse Berlin's performance.

HBC Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HBC Nantes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Füchse Berlin than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Füchse Berlin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HBC Nantes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Füchse Berlin - HBC Nantes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Füchse Berlin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 - Füchse Berlin (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Füchse Berlin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Füchse Berlin (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:30

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Lineups


11. Andersson L.	9. Avelange T.
14. Arino A.	16. Biosca I.
5. Darj M.	13. Bos J.
20. Freihofer T.	3. Briet T.
19. Gidsel M.	15. Gaber M.
15. Grondahl T.	26. Henry S.
29. Herburger L.	8. Nyateu O.
25. Langhoff M.	19. Odriozola K.
17. Lichtlein N.	1. Pesic I.
1. Ludwig L.	24. Peyrabout Y.
93. Marsenic M.	7. Rivera V.
96. Milosavljev D.	6. Tarrafeta I.
24. Pichiri L.	11. Tournat N.
6. Prantner L.	28. Wenkegheu A.
34. Teigum H.	5. Yoshida S.

Preview

Füchse Berlin is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Nantes is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Füchse Berlin won 4.

Füchse Berlin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nantes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Füchse Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Füchse Berlin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Füchse Berlin will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Füchse Berlin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 282:262. (average 31.3:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Füchse Berlin won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 120:108. (average 30:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Füchse Berlin
EHF Champions League
04.03.26	Aalborg - Füchse Berlin	31:35 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
01.03.26	Füchse Berlin - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	35:28 ✺
EHF Champions League
26.02.26	Füchse Berlin - Vive Kielce	31:33 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
22.02.26	Bergischer - Füchse Berlin	28:35 ✺
EHF Champions League
19.02.26	Dinamo Bucureşti - Füchse Berlin	21:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- HBC Nantes
EHF Champions League
05.03.26	HBC Nantes - Veszprém	33:31 ✺
French Starligue Handball
01.03.26	HBC Nantes - USAM Nimes	36:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
25.02.26	Kolstad - HBC Nantes	26:33 ✺
French Starligue Handball
22.02.26	Tremblay - HBC Nantes	27:33 ✺
EHF Champions League
19.02.26	HBC Nantes - Sporting Lisbon	38:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
11.09.25	HBC Nantes - Füchse Berlin	34:40
14.06.25	Füchse Berlin - HBC Nantes	34:24
Club Friendly Hanbdall
25.08.24	HBC Nantes - Füchse Berlin	37:38 penalties
EHF European League
30.04.24	HBC Nantes - Füchse Berlin	30:37
23.04.24	Füchse Berlin - HBC Nantes	33:33
05.04.22	Füchse Berlin - HBC Nantes	30:33
29.03.22	HBC Nantes - Füchse Berlin	25:24

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